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  •   Home > News > International

    Israel wants to take Gaza City. IDF orders show Palestinians have nowhere left to go

    By stitching together the so-called "evacuation orders" issued by the Israel Defense Forces, it is possible to see just how much of Gaza Israel has already taken.


    The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) intend to launch a new ground offensive on Gaza City in what an army boss has called a turning point in the war.

    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says the assault to take control of the city will happen "fairly soon", but military officials have warned it will take weeks to evacuate the population there.

    While Gaza City was home to about 700,000 people before the war, Israeli media now reports the number of people there has swelled to about 1.2 million, all while much of the city has been destroyed.

    After a month of deteriorating conditions, further evacuations will be even harder for Gazans.

    It would mean moving again, but this time without means of transport or adequate humanitarian assistance.

    And after nearly two years of war, there is nowhere left to go.

    There is now just a sliver of Gaza left untouched by "evacuation orders" issued by the IDF.

    Early in the war, the IDF published a new map of Gaza. It was the first time it had been seen.

    It shows Gaza divided into hundreds of suburban blocks, with each one assigned a number. The IDF issues warnings of imminent strikes according to those block numbers.

    The instructions are regularly posted by the IDF's Arabic spokesperson, Avichay Adraee, on social media. They often have QR codes attached.

    There have been pamphlet drops too, and text messages are sent to phones.

    Israeli drones, or "quad copters", have also been reported flying through neighbourhoods broadcasting messages from loudspeakers.

    For hundreds of thousands of Gazans, this confusing patchwork of what the United Nations calls displacement orders, has forced them to repeatedly uproot their lives and move to areas that were supposed to be safe from Israeli air strikes and ground operations.

    The reality, humanitarian groups say, is that nowhere on the Gaza Strip is safe.

    By stitching together all the displacement orders that have been issued since March 18 this year, a picture emerges showing just how much of Gaza is already effectively under Israel's control, and how little space Gazans have to exist.

    It also helps explain why humanitarian groups say these orders — issued under the guise of keeping the people of Gaza safe while the IDF targets Hamas fighters and facilities — appear to be another tool of war.

    As Mr Netanyahu urges his military to move into one of the last remaining population centres in the strip, analysis of the IDF evacuation orders shows how they are being used to position the people of Gaza for the next phase of the war.

    During the fragile eight-week truce in Gaza, Israeli forces had withdrawn to an area wrapping around the strip — something Israeli forces called the "buffer zone".

    But by mid-March, Israeli warplanes returned to the sky.

    Strikes in the early hours of Tuesday, March 18, killed more than 400 Palestinians and injured more than 560, according to local health authorities.

    Not only was the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas shattered in the pre-dawn strikes, but the moment also set the tone for a mass displacement of Palestinians in the weeks and months that followed.

    Displacement orders were issued amid the March 18 strikes. And they continued.

    The next warning came for one of the areas where border residents were told to move towards — on March 20, a notice to move was issued for Bani Suheila, near Khan Younis.

    Highlighted blocks of land, sometimes accompanied by arrows, drawn onto a satellite image of Gaza, are all its residents have to figure out where they are supposed to be, and how to avoid military strikes.

    The ABC spoke to people fleeing, as they rested along the road.

    Abeer Mohammed Adwane, 45, said she had already been forced to move 30 times during the war. At this point, she was again evacuating and said, "we are so tired, I wish we could die".

    Israeli forces then started moving back into the Netzarim corridor — a six-kilometre strip of land cleared by the IDF. This cut off access between northern and central Gaza along Salah al Din Road, which runs the length of Gaza.

    Over successive days, further warnings were put in place.

    They included orders that covered northern coastal areas.

    And southern regions around Rafah and Tel al-Sultan.

    It was at this moment that the IDF laid siege to the city in southern Gaza, laying the groundwork to take full control of the area.

    The pincer movement continued on March 24, with Palestinians told to leave the areas around Jabalia, Beit Lahiya and Beit Hanoun — some of the hardest hit regions of the war, before the ceasefire.

    Two days later, the warnings were issued for the southern reaches of Gaza City, with Palestinians told to head towards the Netzarim corridor — the area the IDF had returned to days prior.

    In southern Gaza, there have been repeated references to move to the Al-Mawasi area — a coastal enclave which the IDF has referred to as a humanitarian zone at points throughout the war, but which has also been targeted in strikes.

    The final move in March was a demand for everyone in the area of southern Gaza around the city of Rafah, to move north.

    The IDF evacuation order issued on March 31, covered almost all of Rafah, which accounts for nearly 20 per cent of the Gaza Strip.

    Over the course of the war, evacuation orders have instructed Palestinians to move in and out of Rafah.

    But by April of this year, the city had been destroyed.

    From there, the population of Gaza was squeezed into a smaller area still.

    From May 14 to 31, huge swathes of land were placed under evacuation orders.

    This coincided with the launch of the so-called "Operation Gideon's Chariots", which had a stated goal of seizing territory.

    One of the evacuation orders issued on May 26, covered 43 per cent of the Gaza Strip just on its own.

    With most of Gaza's south now declared out of bounds to its people, another order was issued four days later.

    By the end of May, more than three-quarters of the Gaza Strip had at some point been included in an evacuation order.

    At that time, that was more of Gaza covered by the evacuation orders than at any other moment since October 7.

    By this time, Palestinians had been pushed to the south-west of the strip, and were surrounded — to the north, south and east — by areas the IDF had deemed possible targets for air strikes.

    Throughout June and July, the gaps reduced even more, closing in on the population as food and aid was restricted and hunger took hold.

    By July 20, all that was left untouched by these orders was a small coastal strip in southern Gaza, as well as blocks that make up Gaza City.

    Even Deir al-Balah, an area largely untouched during the war as it was believed to be the location where Israeli hostages were being held, was now in the firing line.

    By July 26, Israel was promoting its so-called "tactical pauses" in further alerts to the population, saying it was halting the bombardment of certain densely populated areas of Gaza for 14 hours a day.

    But in an evacuation order issued on August 6, the IDF was warning some blocks were being excluded from those "tactical pauses".

    According to the evacuation orders issued by the IDF, the population is left with the small coastal strip of the Al-Mawasi camp along with some areas in central Gaza.

    Taking all of the evacuation orders issued since March, when the last ceasefire collapsed, and all of the warnings issued at other times throughout the nearly two-year war, almost no areas in Gaza have been untouched.

    Since the start of the war, the people of Gaza have been forced into a state of endless displacement according to the layers of evacuation orders issued by the IDF.

    Each time, the onus has been on Gazans to know which block they're in, and which might have a chance at being out of harm's way.

    Now, the population of more than 2 million people is being asked to exist in just a few of those blocks.

    The Al-Mawasi camp, hugging the coastline to the west of Khan Younis, is one of the areas outside the displacement zone — which means hundreds of thousands of people have already moved there.

    Row after row of tarpaulin tents have been erected to deal with the influx. But it's incredibly crowded and supplies for the population are basically non-existent.

    "We've evacuated many times before," Salah Abed, 64, said.

    "I was terrorised. I am usually stubborn, and I don't like moving. I was so scared, I forced myself to evacuate."

    Adlah Abdul-Razzaq and her family were originally from Beit Lahiya in the north of Gaza.

    "We came to the sea because we are banned from the south," she said.

    When "tactical pauses" came into force, with the IDF halting major military action from 8am to 10pm daily in an effort to allow aid into certain areas, some Palestinians took the opportunity to try to return to some of the red zones.

    In Shuja'iyya, the eastern bounds of Gaza City, locals were met with utter devastation.

    "I swear to God, animals cannot live in this situation," Tamer Al-Hindawi told the ABC.

    "The situation is destruction — the houses, the trees and the stone, nothing has remained.

    "I swear to God the sand has turned to powder as a result of the heavy machinery and the quantity of explosives that have been used here."

    Mohammed Abu Jabal was trying to salvage some scrap material from one building.

    "It has been upsetting, all the houses collapsed, people taking out martyrs from inside, very harsh situation," he said.

    "We just reached the houses to take things, and we were shelled.

    "They say there is a short humanitarian ceasefire, but there is no ceasefire at all."

    Now the people in Gaza City are being asked to move again.

    The Gaza City takeover

    Displacement of the population is one of the biggest concerns for the future of Gaza. The issue has fuelled ferocious debate over and over again, as the war has raged on.

    The next military offensive, taking control of Gaza City, will affect hundreds of thousands of people.

    Evacuation orders that have been issued so far, tell Palestinians in the targeted blocks to move south to Al-Mawasi.

    For many, moving again is physically and psychologically insurmountable, and, after nearly two years of war, comes with very little promise of safety anyway.

    "There is no safe place, the places that they said would be safe, people were struck there, people were martyred in the tents and outside the tents, no place is safe," Ahmed Siyam told the ABC in Gaza City.

    "It is a tragedy for everyone, everybody here is saying this: 'It's better stay here and die than go to other places because there is no way to leave.'"

    Majeda Abo Jarad and her family had been forced to move more than 10 times.

    "Because it's so much. We can't bear it," she said.

    "All [of the] Gaza Strip is dangerous, so we can't reject any orders to move from place to place, we don't have any options.

    "We are so exhausted, psychologically and financially."

    The plan from here

    Even before the Gaza City occupation was given the go-ahead by Israel's security cabinet, highlighting divisions between the prime minister and his military chief who thought it wasn't a good plan, displacement has been on the agenda.

    From Donald Trump's "Riviera of the Middle East" pitch — which garnered significant global attention, but which was never fully explained by the US president — through to the plan floated by Israel's defence minister for a camp to be built on the ruins of the southern city of Rafah.

    With southern Gaza under total Israeli control, the IDF carved a new strategic line into the landscape — known as the Morag corridor, named after a Jewish settlement which existed in the area prior to Israel's withdrawal from the strip in 2005.

    Satellite imagery shows how the Israeli military razed Rafah to the ground, with excavators brought in to level bombed-out buildings targeted repeatedly during the war.

    Israel Katz briefed Israeli journalists on his proposal for a "humanitarian city" in July, although many critics of Israel's conduct in Gaza said that was a misnomer — instead likening it to a concentration camp.

    The idea was that an initial 600,000 people would be relocated to the camp, with hopes to continue to expand it to accommodate the entire Gazan population.

    And once Palestinians entered, they wouldn't be allowed to leave.

    It's been pilloried by the international community as a dangerous escalation in the war.

    It's also been questioned by Israeli politicians and the military — more with regards to its logistical and financial viability than its ethics.

    While the Rafah camp may not come to pass, it's an insight into how Israel is making plans for the population.

    In February, Mr Katz also announced the creation of a new department within the defence ministry to develop policies to encourage Palestinians to "voluntarily" leave Gaza.

    Pushing the population into a smaller and smaller portion of Gaza is likely evidence of that encouragement already underway, although it isn't clear where those presented with no choice other than to leave would be resettled.

    Neighbouring countries, such as Jordan and Egypt, have rejected repeated public pronouncements from people like Mr Trump that they could take in Palestinians.

    There have been multiple reports in the Israeli and international media that other countries further afield, including in East Africa, have been sounded out by Israel and the United States as options for resettlement.

    While Israel rejects allegations of forced displacement and ethnic cleansing, analysis of its own conduct fuels the argument it is pursuing such a policy — something which could constitute a war crime under international conventions.

    The IDF did not directly respond to the ABC's questions about how the block system was devised and if it would continue to use it in the future.

    In a statement, the IDF said it "operates with the goal of striking enemy forces while minimizing, as much as possible, harm to uninvolved civilians".

    "The IDF targets only military objectives, basing its strikes on intelligence indications of terrorist infrastructure or the presence of terrorists in the target area.

    "The IDF calls on civilians to evacuate for their own safety by issuing early, clear, and detailed warnings through various channels."

    Additional map design by , translations by Sami Sockol

    Evacuation data used in this story's maps was sourced from the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. The satellite image of Rafah is courtesy of Planet Labs.


    ABC




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